Wednesday, April 13, 2011

KERALA ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS PRE POLL SURVEY RESULTS | PRE POLL SURVEY RESULTS | ELECTION SURVEY APRIL 2011


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Almost all four surveys, by the Centre for Forecasting and Research and ORG, have predicted a clear edge for the UDF, giving it up to 95 seats in the 140-seats.

Most poll surveys forecasting the defeat of the ruling Left Democratic Front have projected Chief Minister V.S. Achuthanandan as the most preferred candidate for the top post, a phenomenon confusing though ‘factual’ from the pollster’s point of view.

But all of them also gave a high popularity rating for Mr Achuthanandan.

While C-fore gave him 48 per cent rating, Org put it at 34 per cent. But both outcomes placed him above Opposition leader Oommen Chandy.

Other Opinion :

# The Asianet opinion survey released on 9-Mar-2011 predicts 77 to 87 seats for UDF, 53 to 63 seats for LDF and 0 to 5 seats for BJP.
# The second round survey by Asianet News on 31-Mar-2011 changes the tally as follows: UDF 80-90; LDF 50-60: BJP 0-2.
# The opinion survey conducted by Institute for Monitoring Economic Growth, predicted on 31-Mar-2011 that the UDF will get 72-82 seats and the LDF will get 58-68 seats in the elections.
# The opinion poll conducted by Mail Today-India Today-Headlines Today-Aaj Tak-ORG, announced on 1-April-2011 predicts 96 seats to the UDF and only 41 seats to the ruling LDF, with others getting 3 seats

Kerala Exit Poll Opinion :
UDF - 96 seats, 48% Vote Share
LDF - 41 seats, 40% Vote Share
Others - 3 seats, 12% Vote Share

The survey was conducted in 15 per cent of randomly selected assembly constituencies.

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